The 1979 Islamic revolution and ousting of Shah was engineered by bazaar, clerics and the people. This one also started from the bazaar but without clerical support. 3.4 million small and medium businesses are hurt by couple of major financial-military giants who don’t let anyone else to take a share of the economy. As such the structure has changed.
Can people now see how wrongheaded Obama's "nuclear deal" and Biden's attempt to revive it were? Will the policy makers behind these efforts come clean so their unwitting followers can perhaps gain a more accurate picture of how the world works?
Most of Iran's water problems are man-made as IRGC-linked entities built dams and irrigation infrastructure that consumed more water than could be replenished, never a good strategy for the long-term. The long-term is here.
Excellent intelligence report, identifying deep fault lines and political oversights/failures. Let’s hope you are correct that the cumulative problems, this time, will result in “regime change.” It would be interesting to hear you address next steps in the event the regime does collapse. What chances of a successful replacement? How best to cultivate a promising new government?
I believe most of what you wrote is correct. However, the latest revolt, the largest to date, has now been brutally put down. One can only wonder how long it will be before the next eruption, or when the regime is overthrown from within via disgrunted IRGC leadership, or both.
Dream on buddy. Keep on fighting to the last Palestinian. And definitely continue to believe that Israel is impotent. That's a surefire way to achieve your goal of its total destruction.
Right. So in addition to being an ignorant, bigoted moron, you're also barely literate. If, as you stupidly say, Israel is "abusing western society" (what a joke!), then it isn't Jews who are being toadies, it's non-Jews being manipulated. Of course, this is all a total bunch of hooey from failures jealous of other peoples' success who have to resort to making impotent threats like "watch it, the 'goyim's' -- hilarious misuse of the word -- patience is wearing thin." Fuck off, dumbass weakling.
"Trust Allah but tie your camel." The Prophet taught personal responsibility alongside trust in Allah. Epistemically, claiming that everything happens solely because Allah wills it conflates ontological causation with moral agency.
Observing that Muslims phrase events in terms of divine will does not justify a sweeping claim that they lack personal responsibility. Your overgeneralizing from language to behavior applies a rigidly secular lens to a worldview where faith and action are complementary, not contradictory.
This is superb. Not a word wasted.
A brilliant write up. Thanks very much.
The 1979 Islamic revolution and ousting of Shah was engineered by bazaar, clerics and the people. This one also started from the bazaar but without clerical support. 3.4 million small and medium businesses are hurt by couple of major financial-military giants who don’t let anyone else to take a share of the economy. As such the structure has changed.
You made important analysis in yours.
Thanks very much.
Can people now see how wrongheaded Obama's "nuclear deal" and Biden's attempt to revive it were? Will the policy makers behind these efforts come clean so their unwitting followers can perhaps gain a more accurate picture of how the world works?
The deals enriched Iran.
Pure awesomeness. Iran deserves better.
Didn’t know about the water.
Oct 7th is going to end in the destruction of the Iranian regime.
Hopefully this time it will finally happen.
Sic Semper Tyrannis.
Most of Iran's water problems are man-made as IRGC-linked entities built dams and irrigation infrastructure that consumed more water than could be replenished, never a good strategy for the long-term. The long-term is here.
https://www.meforum.org/mef-observer/the-water-crisis-highlights-the-day-after-problem-for-regime-change
Excellent intelligence report, identifying deep fault lines and political oversights/failures. Let’s hope you are correct that the cumulative problems, this time, will result in “regime change.” It would be interesting to hear you address next steps in the event the regime does collapse. What chances of a successful replacement? How best to cultivate a promising new government?
Pretty remarkable and exceptionally comprehensive..
I believe most of what you wrote is correct. However, the latest revolt, the largest to date, has now been brutally put down. One can only wonder how long it will be before the next eruption, or when the regime is overthrown from within via disgrunted IRGC leadership, or both.
The main weakness of the Iranian regime is the stupid hats they all wear.
What is it with the hats ?
Dream on buddy. Keep on fighting to the last Palestinian. And definitely continue to believe that Israel is impotent. That's a surefire way to achieve your goal of its total destruction.
Right. So in addition to being an ignorant, bigoted moron, you're also barely literate. If, as you stupidly say, Israel is "abusing western society" (what a joke!), then it isn't Jews who are being toadies, it's non-Jews being manipulated. Of course, this is all a total bunch of hooey from failures jealous of other peoples' success who have to resort to making impotent threats like "watch it, the 'goyim's' -- hilarious misuse of the word -- patience is wearing thin." Fuck off, dumbass weakling.
Iran is not Arabic
"Trust Allah but tie your camel." The Prophet taught personal responsibility alongside trust in Allah. Epistemically, claiming that everything happens solely because Allah wills it conflates ontological causation with moral agency.
Observing that Muslims phrase events in terms of divine will does not justify a sweeping claim that they lack personal responsibility. Your overgeneralizing from language to behavior applies a rigidly secular lens to a worldview where faith and action are complementary, not contradictory.