There is also a fatal conceit in the Arab world: Everything happens because Allah wills it. There is no sense of personal responsibility in Arabic. While an English speaker would say, “I broke the glass,” an Arabic speaker would say’”Allah willed the glass to break.” It will be their undoing.
The 1979 Islamic revolution and ousting of Shah was engineered by bazaar, clerics and the people. This one also started from the bazaar but without clerical support. 3.4 million small and medium businesses are hurt by couple of major financial-military giants who don’t let anyone else to take a share of the economy. As such the structure has changed.
Can people now see how wrongheaded Obama's "nuclear deal" and Biden's attempt to revive it were? Will the policy makers behind these efforts come clean so their unwitting followers can perhaps gain a more accurate picture of how the world works?
The main point is he is old. Not that Iran is the worse-test evar and Israel and America are the bestest evar.
But keeping living vicariously through international events hoping your tribe achieves some safety while completely surrounded by dar al Islam. And your partners in the West who are increasingly convinced of your abuse, apathy and impotence.
Most of Iran's water problems are man-made as IRGC-linked entities built dams and irrigation infrastructure that consumed more water than could be replenished, never a good strategy for the long-term. The long-term is here.
Excellent intelligence report, identifying deep fault lines and political oversights/failures. Let’s hope you are correct that the cumulative problems, this time, will result in “regime change.” It would be interesting to hear you address next steps in the event the regime does collapse. What chances of a successful replacement? How best to cultivate a promising new government?
This is superb. Not a word wasted.
There is also a fatal conceit in the Arab world: Everything happens because Allah wills it. There is no sense of personal responsibility in Arabic. While an English speaker would say, “I broke the glass,” an Arabic speaker would say’”Allah willed the glass to break.” It will be their undoing.
Iran is not Arabic
A brilliant write up. Thanks very much.
The 1979 Islamic revolution and ousting of Shah was engineered by bazaar, clerics and the people. This one also started from the bazaar but without clerical support. 3.4 million small and medium businesses are hurt by couple of major financial-military giants who don’t let anyone else to take a share of the economy. As such the structure has changed.
You made important analysis in yours.
Thanks very much.
Can people now see how wrongheaded Obama's "nuclear deal" and Biden's attempt to revive it were? Will the policy makers behind these efforts come clean so their unwitting followers can perhaps gain a more accurate picture of how the world works?
The deals enriched Iran.
Pure awesomeness. Iran deserves better.
The main point is he is old. Not that Iran is the worse-test evar and Israel and America are the bestest evar.
But keeping living vicariously through international events hoping your tribe achieves some safety while completely surrounded by dar al Islam. And your partners in the West who are increasingly convinced of your abuse, apathy and impotence.
Hopefully this time it will finally happen.
Sic Semper Tyrannis.
Most of Iran's water problems are man-made as IRGC-linked entities built dams and irrigation infrastructure that consumed more water than could be replenished, never a good strategy for the long-term. The long-term is here.
https://www.meforum.org/mef-observer/the-water-crisis-highlights-the-day-after-problem-for-regime-change
Excellent intelligence report, identifying deep fault lines and political oversights/failures. Let’s hope you are correct that the cumulative problems, this time, will result in “regime change.” It would be interesting to hear you address next steps in the event the regime does collapse. What chances of a successful replacement? How best to cultivate a promising new government?
Pretty remarkable and exceptionally comprehensive..
Didn’t know about the water.
Oct 7th is going to end in the destruction of the Iranian regime.
The main weakness of the Iranian regime is the stupid hats they all wear.
What is it with the hats ?